Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.000175 0.000194 0.000214 0.000237 0.000263 0.000291 0.000324
2025-09-21 0.000138 0.000164 0.000195 0.000233 0.000280 0.000336 0.000407
2025-09-28 0.000113 0.000142 0.000177 0.000224 0.000286 0.000364 0.000472
2025-10-05 0.000100 0.000131 0.000171 0.000227 0.000304 0.000408 0.000560
2025-10-12 0.000092 0.000124 0.000168 0.000233 0.000326 0.000457 0.000660
2025-10-19 0.000082 0.000115 0.000160 0.000229 0.000333 0.000486 0.000735
2025-10-26 0.000076 0.000109 0.000157 0.000232 0.000349 0.000530 0.000835
2025-11-02 0.000069 0.000102 0.000151 0.000230 0.000357 0.000559 0.000917
2025-11-09 0.000064 0.000097 0.000147 0.000229 0.000367 0.000595 0.001013
2025-11-16 0.000059 0.000092 0.000141 0.000227 0.000373 0.000623 0.001099
2025-11-23 0.000054 0.000085 0.000134 0.000220 0.000371 0.000636 0.001159
2025-11-30 0.000051 0.000082 0.000132 0.000221 0.000382 0.000675 0.001273
2025-12-07 0.000049 0.000080 0.000131 0.000225 0.000402 0.000731 0.001432
2025-12-14 0.000045 0.000075 0.000126 0.000221 0.000404 0.000758 0.001536
2025-12-21 0.000041 0.000069 0.000118 0.000213 0.000398 0.000765 0.001601
2025-12-28 0.000039 0.000067 0.000117 0.000216 0.000414 0.000820 0.001778
2026-01-04 0.000038 0.000066 0.000118 0.000221 0.000436 0.000888 0.001998
2026-01-11 0.000035 0.000063 0.000114 0.000217 0.000439 0.000918 0.002131
2026-01-18 0.000034 0.000061 0.000113 0.000220 0.000455 0.000978 0.002351
2026-01-25 0.000032 0.000059 0.000109 0.000218 0.000460 0.001013 0.002510
2026-02-01 0.000031 0.000057 0.000107 0.000218 0.000469 0.001061 0.002713
2026-02-08 0.000029 0.000054 0.000104 0.000215 0.000473 0.001095 0.002885
2026-02-15 0.000027 0.000051 0.000100 0.000208 0.000467 0.001102 0.002982